Global Analysis

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Past Issues

2008

World Risk Developments, August 2008

  • In brief
  • International – Systemic risk contained, but credit crisis lingers
  • International – Commodity prices down, but not out
  • India – Terrorism adds to political risk
  • Turkey – AK Party reprieve lowers political temperatureIn brief

World Risk Developments, July 2008

  • In brief
  • World economy – Multilateral bodies remain cautiously optimistic
  • Africa/China – Resource-for-infrastructure deals soar
  • Iran – Sanctions pressure ratchets up
  • Turkey – Growing political crisis raises risk
  • Mongolia – Election could unblock mining laws
  • Zambia – Testing political transition ahead
  • Baltic countries – Flexible labour markets should cushion slowdown

World Risk Developments, June 2008

  • News in brief
  • South Africa/Mozambique report
  • Singapore/Indonesia report

World Risk Developments, April 2008

  • News in brief
  • International/Asia – Multilateral forecasts show guarded optimism
  • International – Food shortages spawn host of problems
  • Nigeria – US$50b credit pledge ratchets up Chinese resource push
  • Turkey – Moves to unseat government disturb investors
  • Iceland – Speculators short ‘Atlantic tiger’
  • Sri Lanka – Credit rating downgraded as going gets tough

World Risk Developments, March 2008

  • News in brief
  • Commodity markets - Speculators bet on continuing tightness
  • Malaysia - Election shakes status quo
  • Indonesia - Soaring food and fuel prices test Jakarta
  • Indonesia - Jakarta takes hard line with foreign resource companies
  • India - Naxalites threaten mining and industry
  • Thailand - Thaksin’s return pours oil on troubled waters
  • Vietnam - Rising inflation troubles investors
  • Venezuela - ExxonMobil challenges resource nationalism
  • Ghana - Artisanal gold-diggers disrupt corporate miners
  • South Africa - Power shortages hinder mining

World Risk Developments, January 2008

  • News in brief
  • International - Heated debate on economic outlook emerges
  • Pakistan - Bhutto assassination deepens existing divisions
  • Sri Lanka - Ceasefire dead and buried
  • Kenya - Political crisis has wide economic repercussions
  • Philippines - New People's Army remains threat to miners
  • Thailand - Political faultlines remain

2007

World Risk Developments, December 2007

  • The year that was and the one ahead ...

World Risk Developments, November 2007

  • International – News in brief
  • International – IMF shaves world growth projections
  • International – Emerging markets remain resilient
  • International – Eastern Europe now more business-friendly than East Asia
  • Sub-Saharan Africa – ‘Ibrahim’ governance index joins crowded field
  • Philippines – Renewed security and political dramas
  • Fiji – Election date offers hope of sanctions relaxation
  • Congo (Dem Rep) – Chinese mega-loan worries mining companies
  • Russia – Foreign investment laws in flux
  • India – Shipping canal meets hostility

World Risk Developments, September 2007

  • International – News in brief 
  • International – Emerging markets show ‘relative resilience’
  • International – Booming trade strains shipping, ports
  • Fiji – State of emergency heightens tensions
  • Thailand – Referendum fails to resolve political crisis
  • Indonesia – Mining companies face tougher terms
  • Congo (Dem Rep) – License cancellation worries miners

World Risk Developments (formerly Market Watch), August 2007

  • International – News in brief 
  • International – Risk repricing finally hits emerging markets
  • International – Growth and risk both up, says IMF
  • PNG – New government will ride boom, but faces challenges
  • Sri Lanka – Escalating conflict bodes ill for economy, business
  • Turkey – AK Party poll victory should end political crisis

Market Watch, June 2007

  • International – News in brief 
  • Africa – Commodity boom fuels growth upsurge
  • Turkey– Investors shrug off political crisis – for now
  • Thailand– Thai Rak Thai dissolution creates uncertainty
  • Philippines– Election result good for political stability
  • PNG – Somare government spends windfall revenue

Market Watch, May 2007

  • International – ‘Crazy-brave’ investors and overheating emerging markets
  • Australia – South Korea, India now No 3 & 4 export markets
  • China – Further policy tightening expected
  • Cambodia – S & P assigns B+ sovereign credit rating
  • Nigeria – Politicians fumble political changeover
  • Zambia – Off-again, on-again plans to raise mining tax

Market Watch, March 2007

  • Thailand  – Government credibility gap widens
  • Vietnam – Stockmarket bubble poses risks
  • Fiji –  No quick return to democracy
  • Democratic Republic of Congo – No-go becomes go-go zone
  • Senegal  – Latecomer to Africa's mining boom
  • Iran – Sanctions will escalate
  • Ecuador – Payment made, but debt brinkmanship continues

Market Watch, February 2007

  • Sri Lanka – Civil war resumes
  • Thailand – Junta squanders investor goodwill
  • Fiji – Isolated regime poses risks
  • Turkey – Investors forgive policy backsliding … for now
  • Zambia – Development plan promises policy continuity
  • Ecuador – ‘Give them the belt’
  • Venezuela – ‘Twenty-first century socialism’

2006

2005


2004

2003

 

 

 

 
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